Opinion polls currently place the RN in the lead with 33-36% of the vote. The left-wing New Popular Front coalition trails with 28-31%, and Macron’s centrist alliance is third with 20-23%. The New Popular Front spans parties from moderate centre-left to hard-left eurosceptics, led by Jean-Luc Melenchon.
Could non-far right voters vote for the far right?
Predicting seat distribution is complex due to the election system, where candidates need an absolute majority in the first round to win. Most constituencies will require a second round involving candidates who secured at least 12.5% of registered voters. Split voting, influenced by high participation rates, could benefit the RN.
Historically, non-far-right voters united against the far-right, but this may change. It’s uncertain if Macron’s camp will drop out in the second round to support left-wing rivals against the RN. Despite efforts to moderate its image, the RN remains controversial, with critics arguing its policies still stigmatize Muslims and foreigners.
With inputs from Reuters
Source link : https://stratnewsglobal.com/world-news/france-faces-historic-election-far-right-party-national-rally-poised-to-take-power/
Author :
Publish date : 2024-06-30 06:18:36
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source.