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Will Chelsea’s Cole Palmer take a penalty for England if their Euro 2024 quarter-final with Switzerland goes to a shoot-out?
Jordet acknowledged that, but said it is “absurd” to not try to simulate these pressure situations in training.
“There are studies showing that training with mild anxiety will prepare you and help you perform better under conditions of high anxiety,” he said, before looking at other professions and areas of work.
“If you look at military training – in peacetime, which is what we’re used to, should they train for war activities and the pressure and stress of being in a conflict, or should they just sit back and say we cannot simulate the pressure and the stress of being in an active firefight? That’s absurd. It’s the same case with pilots or if you look at surgeons or ER doctors.”
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Argentina’s Gonzalo Montiel scores the winning penalty in the 2022 World Cup final against France
Jordet has looked specifically at penalty shoot-outs at the last World Cup and how coaches managed the two minutes they had with their players between extra-time finishing and the shoot-out starting. He noted the winning teams “without exception” were those whose coaches took the shortest time giving their instructions.
In the final, Argentina coach Lionel Scaloni’s nomination process took 15 seconds, Jordet said, because his team was prepared.
He added: “Deschamps spent almost 20 seconds considering who should take the shot for each of his penalty takers, looking around, showing basically how little clarity he had about what to do. It was probably something his players would pick up on as well.”
EUROS HISTORY
There have been 23 shoot-outs at the Euros, including four in 1996 and 2020. Of the 238 shots taken in the shoot-outs, 181 were successful – a 76 per cent success rate.
GO FIRST OR SECOND?
So much for the widely-held perception that the team going second in a shoot-out is disadvantaged for being under extra pressure. The latest major study of penalties, covering men’s competitions in European football over the last 11 years, showed the winning percentage of the team shooting first in penalty kicks was 48.83 per cent. Jordet said the advantage has “progressively and dramatically shrunk” compared to older research, some of which said there was around a 60 per cent chance of the team going first winning.
TEAM ORDERS
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France’s Kylian Mbappe was successful from the spot in his side’s loss to Argentina in the 2022 World Cup final
That same study showed the first kick is scored in shoot-outs more often than any other (nearly 84 per cent) and is typically delivered by the most reliable penalty taker. Messi and Kylian Mbappe took the first two kicks in the World Cup final shoot-out, for example.
The likelihood of success by a team’s second taker dips to as low as around 72 per cent, the study says, while the fifth kicker of the team shooting second has not gotten to take a penalty in 43.26 per cent of shoot-outs. Placing your best taker at No 5 in the list is dangerous, then – just ask Cristiano Ronaldo, who never got to take a penalty when Portugal lost a shoot-out to Spain in the Euro 2012 semi-finals, and Mohamed Salah, who was left stranded as his Egypt team lost the Africa Cup of Nations final in 2021.
TACTICS
Watch out for gamesmanship around shoot-outs or regular penalties. Opponents have been seen attempting to scuff the turf around the spot in the hope of causing the taker to slip. That has led on some occasions to players from the team awarded the penalty gathering around the spot to protect the turf. Another recent phenomenon is one player holding on to the ball near the spot when a penalty has been awarded and then passing it, at the last minute, to the team-mate taking the kick.
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Tim Krul was the Netherlands’ hero in their shoot-out win against Costa Rica in the 2014 World Cup
“It’s about making the individual act of shooting a penalty into a collective team performance,” Jordet said. There also have been numerous examples of back-up goalkeepers or outfield players being brought on as a substitute late in extra-time because they have a better record in penalties than the regular starter. See Netherlands goalkeeper Tim Krul at the 2014 World Cup and Australia goalkeeper Andrew Redmayne in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup.
NEW TECHNIQUE
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England captain Harry Kane has a new penalty-taking technique
There is a new dominant penalty technique – and it is not for the faint-hearted. It involves the taker approaching the ball and waiting for the goalkeeper to make the first move. What invariably becomes a stutter-step routine has been called the “goalkeeper-dependent technique” by experts like Jordet. “It’s very sophisticated and hard to perform when the pressure’s truly on,” he said. “If you’re competent at executing this technique, this will effectively delete the risk factor of the goalkeeper going in the right direction and your odds suddenly going down.”
Poland captain Robert Lewandowski has been using it since 2016 – and used it against France in the group stage at Euro 2024 – and Harry Kane is a recent adopter.
PROVEN PEDIGREE
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England’s Jadon Sancho missed from the spot in the Euro 2021 final loss to Italy at Wembley
History suggests Germany might be the best penalty-taking team in Europe, having won all six of their shoot-outs since losing the European Championship’s first to Czechoslovakia in the 1976 final.
Conversely, there is England, who have had many penalty heartaches down the years – not least in the last Euro final when they lost 3-2 to Italy on penalties – only ever winning one of their five shootouts at the Euros.
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The Three Lions’ numbers are just as bad when including their World Cup record, with two wins from nine. Meanwhile, the Netherlands (2-6) have not fared much better.
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Speaking of England, Gareth Southgate’s side take on Switzerland in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024 on Saturday afternoon in what looks on paper to be an evenly-contested clash that could go all the way to penalties in Dusseldorf.
If that is the case, then as mentioned, England have the worst penalty shoot-out record of any side still left in the tournament.
However, if the last-eight tie is decided by the dreaded spot-kicks at the ESPRIT Arena on Saturday, then let’s hope Southgate has heeded the above advice and prepared his players in advance.
Who are England’s best penalty-takers?
Across all senior competitions for club and country, Cole Palmer remains perfect with a faultless record, converting all 11 to date – last scoring a penalty during England’s pre-tournament 3-0 friendly win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
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Cole Palmer scores from the spot in England’s recent friendly win against Bosnia
Ten current squad members have 100 per cent conversion rates from four or fewer penalties, including Lewis Dunk, Jude Bellingham, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Anthony Gordon.
Phil Foden and Ezri Konsa have missed one from three attempts, while Kieran Trippier and Declan Rice have 50 per cent conversion rates from six and four attempts, respectively.
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Ivan Toney has an excellent penalty record with Brentford and England – his last success was back in March in England’s 2-2 draw with Belgium
In terms of the prolific spot-kick takers, Ivan Toney (92.5 per cent), Harry Kane (88.4 per cent) and Bukayo Saka (86.7 per cent) – who missed during the penalty shootout at the Euro 2020 final against Italy – all have impressive ratios.
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Source link : https://www.skysports.com/football/news/19692/13163384/euro-2024-who-should-take-englands-penalties-in-a-shoot-out-what-lessons-can-be-learned-from-past-spot-kick-failures
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Publish date : 2024-07-04 15:22:30
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