Austria vote: rude awakening for Europe, but the migrant dossier will be less and less divisive

Austria vote: rude awakening for Europe, but the migrant dossier will be less and less divisive

La Victory of the Austrian pro-Nazi party of Liberty (FPO), led by Herbert Kick it, known for his Eurosceptic, anti-migrant and pro-Russian positions, represented another rude awakening for the ‘XNUMX-XNUMX business days on the eve of Ursula von der Leyen’s second term.

Kickl had promised his voters that, in the event of victory, would have governed the country as “Volkskanzler”, people’s chancellor, a term already used by Adolf Hitler. However, the Austrian constitution and the need to find a agreement centre-right party ÖVP would make unlikely the automatic appointment from Kickl to chancellor, as already happened 24 years ago after the victory of the ÖVP then led by Jörg Haider. If the pro-Nazi party really manages to enter the Austrian government’s control room, Vienna will lengthen the list of those EU member states that declare themselves openly Eurosceptic and pro-Russian, starting with Orban’s Hungary, continuing with Slovakia and perhaps the Czech Republic, where the polls for next year’s elections could be confirmed. If we add to these countries that are not openly pro-Russian, but still conservative, such as Italy and Belgium, the picture that emerges for the future of the Union does not appear at all reassuring.

The Decline of the Impact of Pro-Nazi Parties in Europe

Much has changed since 2000, when Haider’s victory was even sanctioned in Brussels and there was discussion about whether or not to let Austria leave the European Union. The shock of having a pro-Nazi party in Europe has lost much of its impact over the years, until today, when the far-right German party, Alternative for Germany (AfD), won the latest state elections in East Germany, following the statements of the French Marine Le Pen and in the presence of an Italian government led by Giorgia Meloni, a former militant of the Movimento Sociale, direct heir of the fascist ideology.

Immigration: Political divisions increasingly blurred

However, it appears increasingly likely that the deep divisions between right extreme, on the one hand, and large European political families such as PPE e socialists, on the other hand, will no longer be played in the future on temi migratory, where positions tend to become increasingly confused and almost homogenized. It is enough to look at the recent statements of the current French vice-minister for Europe, former group leader of the Gaullist-inspired party “Les Républicains”, Benjamin Haddad, who in an interview with “Politico” explained that “everywhere, in all our countries, beyond the division between right and left, there is a strong demand from our citizens to take control of our immigration”.

This, according to Haddad, “does not mean closing our borders, it means choosing our own criteria to stay on our territory and being able to expel those who should not stay there”. Last week, Bruno Retailleau, Interior Minister of the centre-right French government led by Michel Barnier (a former EU negotiator for Brexit), also called for an alliance between those countries that “want a tougher response on immigration to review European legislation, which is no longer relevant”.

Concerns over Brunner’s nomination as EU Commissioner

Even countries that are not avowedly right-wing, such as Denmark e Sweden, have raised the issue of a control more stringent ofillegal immigration. This does not change the fact that von der Leyen’s nomination of Austrian Finance Minister Magnus Brunner as the new EU Commissioner for Home Affairs and Migration has raised more than a few concerns at the highest levels of the European institutions.Austria, even before the latest victory of Kickl’s party, was already known for its position on matters of freedom of movement within the EU. The Austrian government blocked the integration of Romania and Bulgaria into the Schengen area and was condemned for illegally extending border controls.

Brunner would have hoped for an economic and financial portfolio, in line with his current skills. Furthermore, he will have to share many dossiers with the Croatian Dubravka Suica, the new Commissioner for Security in the Mediterranean, who, in turn (based on the cumbersome logic of the intertwined portfolios specifically designed by von der Leyen), will also have to report to the High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kaja Callas.

Brexit and the need for a migration deal with London

What worries almost all the Interior Ministers of the 27 is the fact that at least a third of the irregular immigrants arriving on European soil are heading towards the UK. This is where the request from the outgoing Interior Minister, at the beginning of September, comes from, Gerald Darmann, to “re-establish a classic migratory relationship with our British friend and neighbor.” A request that followed a few hours after a shipwreck in the English Channel, which had caused at least 12 deaths.

Darmanin recalled that France has been calling for two years for “a migration treaty between Great Britain and the European Union, which could impose the creation of legal immigration routes, for example for migrants trying to reach their families”.

Together with the German Interior Minister, Nancy Faser, Darmanin sent a letter a few weeks ago to the outgoing Commissioner for Home Affairs and Migration, Ylva Johansson, to urge an ad hoc treaty with London on migrants. According to Darmanin and Faeser, “the Brexit has seriously undermined the coherence of migration policies within the EU”. For this reason “the Commission should quickly present a draft negotiating mandate with a view to an agreement with the United Kingdom on asylum and immigration issues”.

The G7 Interior and the management of migration flows

On the same days (September 14) the new British Prime Minister, Keir starmer, flew to Rome to ask for advice from Prime Minister Meloni on the management of migratory flows and on the “Albanian model”, a sort of migratory outsourcing.

The fact is that recent data on arrivals of migrants on the Italian coasts mark a significant decline of around 60% in September compared to the same month in 2023.

The Interior Ministers will also discuss this G7 in Mirabella Eclano (Avellino) in the G7 Interior chaired by the minister Matteo Crying himself, which will open on October 3. In addition to international scenarios, the spread of synthetic drugs and cybersecurity, the main focus will be immigration on Friday, October 4.

Ministers from some of the countries of origin and transit of migrants are also expected to take part in this session. And Piantedosi will have to explain to his colleagues there how he managed to so drastically slow down the landings of migrants.

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Publish date : 2024-09-30 21:36:00

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